Updated: Tue, 22 Jan 2013 09:54:34 GMT | By pa.press.net

2014 home prices tipped to top 2007

UK house prices will surpass their pre-financial crisis peak for the first time next year, amid signs of improvements in the mortgage market, economists have predicted.


By 2014, a typical house in the UK will cost 223,000 pounds, economists predict

By 2014, a typical house in the UK will cost 223,000 pounds, economists predict

UK house prices will surpass their pre-financial crisis peak for the first time next year, amid signs of improvements in the mortgage market, economists have predicted.

Average prices this year are expected to edge up to £219,000 this year, marking a 0.8% increase compared with 2012, the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said.

By 2014, a typical house in the UK will cost £223,000, a figure which is 0.7% higher than the 2007 peak.

The slow recovery will be welcome news to homeowners who bought around the peak of the market and have found themselves stuck with little or no equity in their home.

The forecaster said that house price growth will accelerate in the coming years as the economy gradually picks up. CEBR predicts that in five years' time a typical home will cost £261,000, representing an increase of almost a fifth (19.1%) compared with this year.

Daniel Solomon, CEBR economist and main author of the research, said: "Next year, UK property prices will hit a significant milestone, passing their pre-crisis peak for the first time. This will be driven by fundamentals, such as a return to modest economic growth."

House prices have remained sluggish in recent years, although experts have been surprised at the resilience of much of the market, given the wider difficulties of the economy.

Surveyors and lenders have predicted that house sales will pick up this year amid improvements to the mortgage market which have come about as a result of a multi-billion pound Government scheme which was launched in August to boost lending.

Lenders have been slashing their mortgage rates and the number of deals on the market has also increased since the scheme started. The Council of Mortgage Lenders recently reported an uplift in loans being advanced to first-time buyers and mortgage approvals to home buyers generally have been increasing in recent months.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors also recently suggested that the housing market could be over the worst of its problems.

20Comments
21/01/2013 13:16
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Come on, stop trying to fool us. Anything from the CEBR needs to be taken with a large pinch of salt, it just says what it's clients want it to say! 
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Its a con they are trying to talk the market up hard working people have lost HOMES not houses listening to these psychopaths estate agents banks solicitors architects all sat on there parasitic  backsides all feeding of the hard work of decent people but not satisfied with a guaranteed 15% rise in the value of houses there greed put the housing market in to negative equity end result people buying houses they cannot pay for in a life time
21/01/2013 16:31
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House prices haven't bottemed out yet, and a long way from. Don't be sucked in, it's a con.
21/01/2013 19:05
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The high cost of homes was a major factor in stoking the recession. Owners 'spent' what equity they had on holidays and cars, the first of which has no intrinsic value and the second plummets in value once driven off the forecourt. Getting first time buyers into properties will result in more customers spending money in DIY store and carpet suppliers etc, but only if the houses are affordable
21/01/2013 16:55
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cuts, cuts, cuts and job losses tony p are the result of 13 years of Liebour under the  Blair - Brown  lead Disaster Incorporated and as usual the Conservatives are in the unenviable position of having to implement unpopular cuts and financial restraint to get us back to a position where the British public and the world has faith in our economy, pretty much the same situation as Labours Wilson and Callaghan left us in in the past
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More lenders and estate agents' DRIVEL!
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... HOW COME THE TYPICAL HOUSEPRICES IN MY NEIGHBOURHOOD AT PRESENT ARE LESS THAN HALF THE FIGURE MENTIONED HERE ?
21/01/2013 19:56
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John G is correct. Getting the First Time Buyers back in the market generates growth via purchasers from the bottom through to the rest of the economy.

 

What we don't need to see is incentives and deals to get them just to buy new builds. That may help the construction industry (and we all know who has their fingers in that particulat pie), but it does nothing to help the overall market, as nobody moves out of a newly built house.

 

If they are offering deals on new builds, they should offer them to first time buyers who are buying pre owned houses, as that will be far more benefit to the overall housing market, whisch generally fuels the economy.

 

Something simple like a method of funding 5% deposit and no stamp duty for a first time buyer would do it.

 

If they can find money for people who want to go into further education (even if its via grants) then they should find money to help those that don't, and choose to make their own way by getting jobs and investing in their own homes. These people tend to stay in the UK, not like so many of the Uni Grads, who bugger off abroad after using British taxpayers money to gain an education.

 

I know which one of tha above I think should be helped first, and which one does the most good for the British economy!

22/01/2013 10:38
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Not if your a Santander customer or Bank of Ireland they are rolling out their fixed or tracker customers on 4.75% and even higher SVR rates or in the case of Santander offering fixed at 4.99% being higher than the SVR even for good customers without default!!  But then offering new customers at 2.99% to catch them. For the  self employed (small business ) or those with interest only (old endowment types) they know you cant move FSA closed the door on you allowing such exploitation and in the case of santander  you are going to pay for the spanish losses. Its the next crisis looming.

Happy New Year

22/01/2013 14:17
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Like it or not, as long as there is a population issue in the UK there will be a housing market. Buy-to-let, ordinary home buyers or anyone else will be keeping the market buoyant. The reason the retail industry is suffering is because they are locked into their property world with ludicrous rental agreements, scandalous business rates and other issues that the on-line retail industry doesn;t have. Plus the Charity shop competition.  All great for the property market.

22/01/2013 17:08
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I for one do not belive this rubbish I wont be selling the property  I rent out. Because young couples cannot get on the housing ladder and there will be no shortage of people who want or need to rent in the short term future.
22/01/2013 19:39
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cuts cuts cuts job losses these are signs of improvements under david cameron
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